At the onset of the college basketball season the Michigan State Spartans were a top tier favorite to win the national championship. And why not? With the return of Cassius Winston for his senior season the sky seemed to be the limit. But the tragic death of Winston’s brother has cast a shadow over last year’s Big Ten Most Valuable Player award winner. It has been an emotionally tough holiday season for the entire MSU program. By contrast the Michigan Wolverines were a great mystery with the College Basketball odds. New head coach Juwan Howard has been the perfect fit, at least so far, as the replacement for John Beilein. Fortunately for Howard, Beilein left a full cupboard behind.
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- Date and Time: Sunday, January 5, 2020, 4:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Breslin Center, East Lansing, Michigan
- College Basketball Odds at Betcris: Check Back Later
- Michigan vs. Michigan State TV Coverage: CBS
Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans Odds Analysis
The Spartans will be a solid favorite with the public due to their reputation as a Final Four contender at home with a Hall of Fame coach in Tom Izzo. Bargain hunters and sharps will give a quality road dog Michigan a hard look.
Michigan Wolverines Current Form
Michigan is 10-3 straight up, 8-5 vs. the line, and 6-7 under the total. The Wolverines rank 50th in the nation for total offense and 122nd for points allowed. The Maize and Blue have split their last six games against the spread with three of their last four going under the total.
Michigan State Spartans Current Form
Michigan State leads the Big Ten Conference with a record of 10-3 straight up, 5-8 against the spread and 8-4 over the total. MSU has national metrics of 20th for scoring offense and 86th for points against. Sparty has covered three of their last four games with five of their last six going over the total.
Key Wolverines: C Jon Teske (14.4 PTS, 8.4 REB, 2.0 BLK, 57.7% FG, 69.8% FT, 26.9% 3P), G Eli Brooks (13.6 PTS, 3.3 REB, 50.9% FG, 90.0% FT, 50% 3P), G Zavier Simpson (11.2 PTS, 4.5 REB, 8.9 AST, 50% FG, 66.7% FT, 40% 3P)
Key Spartans: G Cassius Winston (17.6 PTS, 6.1 AST, 42% FG, 86% FT, 35.6% 3P), F Xavier Tillman (13.1 PTS, 9.9 REB, 2.7 AST, 55.6% FG, 63.5% FT, 31.8% 3P), F Aaron Henry (10.6 PTS, 3.8 REB, 3.3 AST, 47.8% FG, 80.6% FT, 36.8% 3P)
Michigan vs. Michigan State vs. the Line
The Wolverines are:
- 5-7 against the spread in their last 12 away games
- 4-3 over the total on the road
- 14-6 vs. the odds in their last 20 games as a dog
- 3-5 under the total when getting points
- 3-6 on the board head to head with Michigan State
- 5-1 over the total in their last six games with the Spartans
The Spartans are:
- 12-4 against the spread at home
- 6-1 over the total in their last seven games at Breslin Center
- 12-4 vs. the number as a chalk
- 6-1 over the total when favored
- 4-3 with the odds at home against the Wolverines
- 4-1 over the total when hosting Michigan
In this situation we have a very good Michigan team going up against the elite Spartans. State has proven board value at home and head to head agiasnt the Wolverines. Also, of great concern is Michigan’s red ink on the road. MSU has been money as a chalk and has the best player on the court in Winston.
Michigan vs. Michigan State Pick: Michigan State Spartans
Michigan vs. Michigan State Score Prediction: Michigan State 88, Michigan 78
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