NBA Odds – Golden State Warriors vs Cleveland Cavaliers Game 3 Preview

Tuesday, June 5th, 2018

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BETCRIS NBA Finals Game 3 warriors vs Cleveland Cavaliers Game 3 Preview

Still riding high on the gift they got in Game 1, the Golden State Warriors were blistering hot on Sunday, using a NBA Finals record nine three-pointers from Stephen Curry to subdue the Cleveland Cavaliers and take a commanding 2-0 series lead. The Cavs overcame a 0-2 deficit to beat the Boston Celtics in the Eastern Conference Final, winning Game 3 of that series at home. They’ll need to repeat that scenario to have any chance of winning the O’Brien Trophy. And they will need LeBron James to keep his unbelievable postseason going. After scoring 51 points in the opener, James was limited to 29 on Sunday and the Cavs never led.

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Game 3 of the NBA Finals is set for Wednesday, June 6, 2018 at 9 p.m. ET from Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland. The game will be nationally televised on ABC.

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Odds Analysis

After playing as a double-digit favorite in the first two games at home, the Warriors opened as 5-point chalk for Game 3. They continued their dominance at Oracle by winning the first two games going 1-1 ATS, but the Dubs have been ordinary on the road this postseason. They are just 4-4 SU and ATS away from home.

Hopeful a return home changes their fortunes in the Finals, the Cavs are riding an 8-game winning streak at the Q and they’ve won four straight against the spread. They will play as an underdog at home for the first time this postseason, but being spotted points hasn’t been a bad thing. The Cavs are 16-9 ATS when playing as a dog.

The teams needed an extra session to exceed the total in Game 1 and they did it in regulation on Sunday, thanks to some hot shooting from the Warriors. The total for Game 3 hit the board at 217.5, slightly higher than the 216 for Game 2, and the early action is on the over so the number could go up.

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Player to Watch

Keep an eye on J.R. Smith on Wednesday. He had a forgettable two games in Oakland and more than anyone, he will benefit for a return to Cleveland. Smith committed one of the biggest gaffes ever in Game 1 when he grabbed an offensive rebound with seconds remaining in a tie game and dribbled the ball away from the basket as time expired.

The Warriors then put the hammer down in overtime, scoring the first nine points en route to a victory. Greeted with cheers and MVP chants ahead of Sunday’s matchup, Smith was just awful. He missed seven of his nine shots and wasn’t close, setting the Dubs up for easy transition buckets. Smith is a streaky shooter and the Cavs need him to find his stroke. With little margin for error, if Smith continues to hinder the club he’ll be on the bench.

Key Stat

The Warriors showed why they had the top-ranked offense during the regular season with their scorers going off. Curry missed the entire first round of the playoffs with a knee injury and he’s making up for lost time. The sharp-shooter hit 5 of 11 triples in Game 1 and totaled 29 points while the Dubs got 26 from Kevin Durant and 24 from Klay Thompson. The Warriors shot 51.1 percent in the opener.

And they were even better on Sunday. With Curry dropping nine threes in 17 tries and scoring 33 points, the Warriors shot 57.3 percent. KD hit 10 of 14 shots for 26 points and Thompson drained 8 of 13 field goals for 20 points. The trio scored a combined 79 points in each of the first two games and the Warriors shot a combined 54 percent.

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The Cavs have been good at home this postseason and they’ll need to come up with another big game to stay alive in the series. They didn’t shoot the basketball very well in either of the first two games, yet they were hanging around and missed a great opportunity to steal Game 1 and I really think that affected them in Sunday’s encounter.

Home court in the NBA is huge and the Cavs are hoping some of the questionable calls that went in favor of the Dubs in the first two games are reversed. And playing a little tighter defensively will help their cause. Don’t expect the Warriors to burn the nets again and a little home cooking gets the Cavs back in the series with a critical Game 3 win.

NBA ATS Pick: Cavaliers 110, Warriors 105

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