Dubai World Cup Odds and Predictions

Thursday, March 28th, 2019

By Tom Wilkinson
Dubai World Cup Odds and Predictions

The richest day in racing, (sorry Breeders’ Cup) actually takes place on Saturday in Dubai, with $35 million dollars in purses up for grabs. The highlight of the day will be the $12 million dollar Dubai World Cup where Thunder Snow tries to become the first horse to ever win the race twice. "He's always tough and no horse has won this race twice," said trainer Saeed bin Suroor to the media, "It would be good to see him win for the second year. He's always tried. We've seen him in America, seen him in Europe and Dubai." Let’s take a look at Saturday’s race and Dubai World Cup predictions.

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Dubai World Cup Odds (By Post Position)

  • 1 Gunnevera 14-1
  • 2 Capezzano 5-1
  • 3 North America 3-1
  • 4 Audible 12-1
  • 5 Seeking the Soul 6-1
  • 6 Pavel 33-1
  • 7 Gronkowski 25-1
  • 8 Axelrod 25-1
  • 9 New Trails 16-1
  • 10 Yoshida 8-1
  • 11 KT Brave 33-1
  • 12 Thunder Snow 7-2
  • 13 Dolking 20-1
  • Top Contenders

The post time favorite on Saturday could end up being North America. The horse is in excellent form having won the Al Maktoum Challenge Rounds 1 and 2. The horse wasn’t entered in Round 3, so he comes in here rested and ready to roll. His trainer, Ramzan Kadyrov is also looking for redemption, as last year in this race the horse broke bad and had no chance. "What happened last year will never leave me for the rest of my life," Seemar said to the media, "I'll always blame myself. I should have had a person in the gate holding him. I should have known about the sound."

Thunder Snow is the defending champion of this race, but history is against the horse as there has never been a repeat winner. He finished second in the Al Maktoum Challenge Round 3. It doesn’t help that Thunder Snow has an outside post. “It is not easy, that's the truth. Last year Christophe (Soumillon) gave him a good ride, pushed him all the way to be close to the rail. I hope this can happen again this year," said trainer Bin Suroor to the media, "The horse has come back well from his last race and has worked well."

Capezzano dominated the Al Maktoum Challenge Round 3, winning by over nine lengths. The horse has looked much different at the age of 5, but I think he is overvalued at odds of 5-1.

Seeking the Soul was second to City of Light in the Pegasus World Cup and he finished second in the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile. "We think we're going to run well in just a great group of horses," said trainer Dallas Stewart to the media, "He was second in the Breeders' Cup and second in the Pegasus, so he has the credentials to be here. I think he has a heck of the shot." The horse gets Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith who is looking to become only the second jockey to win this race twice. “I love coming back here,” he said to the media, “When I got an opportunity to ride this horse I was very excited. It’s always nice to come back and ride another World Cup.”

Yoshida has mainly been a turf horse, but he did win on the dirt in the Woodward and he finished fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Classic.

Possible Longshots

Audible has struggled on wet tracks, but he should have no trouble in Dubai. He is trained by Todd Pletcher and I think he is live at odds of 12-1.

Gunnevera has yet to win a Grade 1 race, but this race could set up well for him with a lot of speed. Gunnevera is known as a closer and he just might be able to steal this one late.

Gronkowski looked good in finishing second to Justify in the Belmont Stakes but hasn’t done much since. He looked a little better in the Al Maktoum Challenge Round 3 so perhaps he could get a late piece.

Dubai World Cup Predictions

I like North America as my top choice to win this race and I will also play an exacta box with North America, Audible and Seeking the Soul.

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