Horse Racing Odds – Kentucky Derby First Look Odds

Wednesday, April 10th, 2019

By Phil Simon
Kentucky  Derby First Look Odds

The Run for the Roses is still a month away, but a number of three-year olds have stood out and the first look at the early odds has Improbable as the betting favorite at +600. Several horses still have qualifying runs ahead of the May 4 Kentucky Derby and the field will have a maximum of 20 horses. The odds are fluid and will change as we get closer to post time, but count on a Bob Baffert-trained horse, or several of them, to be among the favorites when the bell rings. Improbable and second favorites Game Winner and Roadster are all trained by Baffert, who worked with triple-crown winner Justify last year.

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Odds to win 2019 Kentucky Derby

  • Improbable +600
  • Roadster +700
  • Game Winner +700
  • Maximum Security +1000
  • Tacitus +1200
  • Omaha Beach +1300
  • Haikal +1500
  • Win Win Win +1500
  • Vekoma +1600
  • Code of Honor +1600
  • Long Range Toddy +1800
  • Federal Case +2000
  • Bourbon War +2500
  • Anothertwistafate +2500
  • Complexity +2500
  • Instagrand +3000
  • Cutting Humor +3000
  • Hidden Scroll +3000
  • Alwaysmining -3300
  • Dessman +3300
  • War of Will +3300
  • Tax +3300
  • Bodexpress +3300
  • King For A Day +3300
  • Tale of the Union +3300
  • Nitrous +3300
  • Galilean +3300
  • Endorsed +3300
  • Spinoff +3400
  • Plus Que Parfait +3500
  • By My Standards +3500
  • U S Navy Cross +4000
  • Magic On Tap +4000
  • Mucho +4000
  • Mucho Gusto +4000
  • Mind Control +4000
  • Gunmetal Gray +4000
  • Call Paul +4000
  • Frosted Ice +4000
  • Cairo Cat +4000
  • Maximus Mischief +4250
  • Signalman +4500
  • Network Effect +5000
  • Coliseum +5000
  • Dueling +5000
  • Standard Deviation +5000
  • Country House +5000
  • Mihos +5500
  • Royal Marine +5500
  • Kingly +6000
  • Well Defined +6600
  • Nolo Contesto +6600
  • Dream Maker +6600
  • Harvey Wallbanger +6600
  • Super Steed +7500
  • Gun It +7500
  • Gray Attempt +7500
  • Sueno +7500
  • Sir Winston +8000
  • Knicks Go +10000
  • Hog Creek Hustle +15000

Justify was the top three-year old last year and a heavy favorite to not only win the Kentucky Derby but also the Triple Crown. And he came through. There isn’t a horse like that this year and the odds will continue to fluctuate.

While it’s not a true barometer of how the horse will fare in the Derby, Tacitus is the Kentucky Derby points leader with 150 and has odds of +1200 following back-to-back wins in the Tampa Bay Derby and the Wood Memorial. An omen for Tacitus, who is sired by the legendary Tapit, is that no Wood Memorial winner has taken first at the Derby since 2000.

One impressive colt so far is Cutting Humor, who has a nice payout of +3000. Cutting Humor held off a late charge from Anothertwistafate, who is higher up the Kentucky Derby odds board at +2500, to win the Sunland Derby galloping the 1 1/8 mile distance in just under one minute and 47 seconds.

Hall of Fame jockey John Velazquez will have to stretch his colt out for an additional 1/8 of a mile at Churchill Downs, but according to Velazquez, Cutting Humor “showed plenty of burst” despite a five-week layoff.

Baffert has increased odds of training another Kentucky Derby winner by having the top three on the odds board in his stable. Game Winner might be the best of the trio with a perfect record in four starts. Game Winner won the G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at Churchill Downs so he’s familiar with the track should that mean anything.

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