Alistair Overeem vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik Free Picks

Wednesday, December 4th, 2019

By Abe Chong
Alistair Overeem vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik FREE PICKS

No. 4 heavyweight Alistair Overeem (45-17, 23 KOs, 17 SUBs) will meet surging heavyweight prospect Jairzinho “Bigi Boy” Rozenstruik at UFC on ESPN 7 on Saturday, December 7 at the Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. The card airs live on ESPN starting 9pm ET.

The Demolition Man ain’t done yet. But while it’s clear that Alistair Overeem still has a lot to offer the heavyweight division, where he stands in the UFC is still murky. Right now, he’s playing gatekeeper - but he always seems to be a win or two away from a contender spot. That’s seriously impressive for a big man that’s been banging for over 20 years.

Back-to-back first round knockouts to Francis Ngannou and Curtis Blaydes have The Reem looking outside of the contender ranks, but he’s since bounced back nicely with consecutive knockout wins over Sergei Pavlovich and Alexey Oleynik. This Saturday, the future Hall of Famer takes on surging prospect Jairzinho Rozenstruik.

On the heels of an impressive wave of African-born fighter, Suriname’s Rozenstruik boasts an impressive 9-0 with eight knockouts. “Bigi Boy” has been a monster in three UFC fights, notching finishes in each appearance. Most recently, he needed less than 30 seconds to ice former champion Andrei Arlovski. While beating “The Pitbull” certainly doesn’t mean what it used to, how Rozenstruik did so drew a lot of attention. Now, the 31-year old has an opportunity to vault into the top six.

But is it too much, too soon for Rozenstruik? Sign Up at Betcris! and let’s see what the UFC odds have to say and break down your best betting options. Live UFC betting at Betcris is available to bets on real-time line updates as needed.

UFC Odds at Betcris

  • Alistair Overeem -135 vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik +105
  • Fight goes/doesn’t go to decision: +365 / -555
UFC Free Betting Picks

Significant Striking Stats

  • Strikes landed per minute: Overeem 3.79 / Rozenstruik 3.22
  • Striking accuracy: Overeem 73% / Rozenstruik 70%
  • Strikes absorbed per minute: Overeem 4.91 / Rozenstruik 3.05
  • Striking defense: Overeem 60% / Rozenstruik 33%

Grappling Stats

  • Takedown average: Overeem 0.48 / Rozenstruik 0
  • Takedown accuracy: Overeem 28% / Rozenstruik -
  • Takedown defense: Overeem 73% / Rozenstruik 66%
  • Submission average: Overeem 0.36 / Rozenstruik 0

Bet Alistair Overeem vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik UFC fight at Betcris

Rozenstruik is following a similar road as many past heavyweight knockout artists: he’s lining dudes up and cleaning their clocks with ease. We brought up that he needed less than half a minute to send Arlovski into the shadow realm, but he blasted through Junior Albini in 54 seconds and Allen Crowder lasted less than 10 seconds. When it big man is slicing through other heavyweights like butter, it’s impossible not to notice.

But we also really don’t know much else about Rozenstruik. What happens if he can’t truck a guy over? How’s his takedown defense? The 31-year old was fighting in no-name promotions prior to the UFC, with one fight in Rizin against Andrey Kovalev where he only managed to eke out a split decision. Like your typical fast-rising knockout artist, it would appear that his graplping and wrestling is far behind his punching power.

Of course, the ability to fight in a trench war might not matter against Overeem, who has one of the most famous glass chins in the division. His beard might as well be a bullseye at this point. While Overeem is one of the best heavyweight strikers in the world, he doesn’t have the ability to take more than a few big shots, and even one heavy hit seems to drain his stamina.

UFC Odds Pick: Overeem to win at

We’ve seen plenty of young bombers matched up with Overeem - Pavlovich being the latest example. The usual result is that the far more experienced Reem (who has six times as many fights as Rozenstruik) ends up carving them up with his K-1 level striking. Expect that to be the case here.

UFC Odds Pick: Fight doesn’t go to decision at

Win or lose, Overeem’s fights rarely go to the scorecards: 11 of his last 12 have ended before that. This goes one of two ways: either Rozenstruik baptizes Overeem, or he gets pummelled into oblivion. This is the safest play, though the price isn’t that great.

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