UFC 227 takes place on Saturday night in Los Angeles with the main event a bout between T.J. Dillashaw and Cody Garbrandt. This is a rematch from UFC 217 last year that saw Dillashaw knocking out Garbrandt to win the UFC Bantamweight title. The co-main event is also a rematch, as Demetrious Johnson takes on Henry Cejudo.
There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card at UFC 227 and a total of seven fights on the preliminary card with three on FX and four UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the card with a focus on the top two fights and UFC picks.
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T. J. Dillashaw -115 vs. Cody Garbrandt
Dillashaw is 15-3 in his career, including 11-3 in the UFC, while Garbrandt is 11-1 overall, including 6-1 in the UFC. These two met last year and it was Dillashaw handing Garbrandt the first loss of his career. Dillashaw has seven knockout wins in his career and three submission wins. He has four first round finishes. Garbrandt has nine knockout wins in his career and he has seven first round finishes.
When these two fought last year it was Garbrandt dominating the first round, but Dillashaw turning things around in the second. Dillashaw just barely survived that first round and he came alive in the second and got the knockout.
Both Dillashaw and Garbrandt are excellent strikers, but in terms of striking differential, the edge goes to Dillashaw. He is +2.35, while Garbrandt is at +0.46. Dillashaw lands 5.26 significant strikes per-minute while Garbrandt is at 3.45. The last time they met it was Garbrandt winning the first round 15-9 in significant strikes, but Dillashaw on the second 11-3. Garbrandt does have more power, as he averages 1.9 knockdowns per 15 minutes, while Dillashaw has 0.56 knockdowns per 15 minutes. If the fight does go to the ground it would favor Dillashaw, but this really looks like another striking battle.
This should be another excellent matchup between two really good strikers. Garbrandt nearly beat Dillashaw last time out in the first round and this time I think he gets the job done and gets revenge for the only loss in his career.
Demetrious Johnson -500 vs. Henry Cejudo
These two met in April of 2016 at UFC 197 and it was Johnson winning by first round TKO. Johnson is 27-2-1 in his career and one of the greatest fighters in UFC history. He has successfully defended his UFC Flyweight title a record 11 times. Cejudo comes into this fight with a record of 12-2. He has gone 2-1 since his loss to Johnson two years ago.
Cejudo said he is a smarter fighter than he was two years ago. “There’s not too many times in life you get a chance at redemption. There’s no time to waste now. I’m seizing the opportunity. I’m smarter now.” Cejudo said to MMAjunkie. Cejudo is a great wrestler, but Johnson is the better overall fighter and Johnson should win.
It is hard to see anything other than a win for Johnson, but the price at 5-1 is simply too high for me.
UFC 227 takes place on Saturday, August 4, 2018, at Staples Center in Los Angeles, California, with a men’s bantamweight match between T.J. Dillashaw and Cody Garbrandt as the event headliner. There are five fights on the main pay-per-view card and a total of seven preliminary bouts, with three of those on FX and four on UFC Fight Pass.
Main Card (Pay-Per-View)
Bantamweight – T. J. Dillashaw -115 vs. Cody Garbrandt
Flyweight – Demetrious Johnson -500 vs. Henry Cejudo
Middleweight – Thiago Santos -375 vs. Kevin Holland
Women’s Strawweight – Polyana Viana -260 vs. JJ Aldrich
Featherweight – Renato Moicano -410 vs. Cub Swanson
Preliminary Card (FX)
Bantamweight – Pedro Munhoz -270 vs. Brett Johns
Bantamweight – Ricky Simon -125 vs. Montel Jackson
Featherweight – Matt Sayles -115 vs. Sheymon Moraes
Early Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
Flyweight – Alex Perez -150 vs. Jose Torres
Bantamweight – Ricardo Ramos – 220 vs. Kyung Ho Kang
Women’s Strawweight – Zhang Weili -250 vs. Danielle Taylor
Bantamweight – Marlon Vera -465 vs. Wuliji Buren