Light heavyweight champion Jon Jones (25-1, 10 KOs, 6 SUBs) will defend the title against undefeated Dominick Reyes (12-0, 7 KOs, 2 SUBs) at UFC 247 on Saturday, February 8, 2020, at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. The main card airs live on pay-per-view starting at 10 pm ET.
Any conversation involving Jon Jones comes with the requisite reminder that he’s the greatest light heavyweight fighter in MMA history - nobody else even comes close. But perhaps Dominic Reyes could be the one to shock the world when he challenges the all-timer in a championship matchup in Houston.
Jones is technically unbeaten in 26 fights, leaving a trail of future hall of famers and would-be champions in his wake. This is a man that’s dominated the likes of Daniel Cormier, Shogun Rua, Rampage Jackson, and Lyoto Machida. He lapped the division years ago, to the point where Dana White is having a tough time finding credible challengers. It seems like boredom is starting to sink in as well, as Bones has made overtures of fighting at heavyweight for years.
Reyes...is somewhat qualified as a title challenger. A shiny undefeated record helps, as well as solid wins over Jared Cannonier, OSP, Volkan Oezdemir, and Chris Weidman. Being a tall, athletic dude with some sweet highlight-reel knockouts is a big deal as well. In a division that Jones has largely cleaned out, a winning streak + passing the eye test + never faced Jones = good enough for a title shot.
The UFC odds at Betcris opened with Jones as a heavy -425 favorite, with Reyes at +307 on the comeback. The early action has been behind the champ for the past few weeks, driving his line down 30 points. Let’s take a look at the online sportsbook and break down your best betting options. Live UFC betting at Betcris lets you make bets during the fight as needed.
|Dominick Reyes +331
|Jon Jones -465
|Fight goes/doesn’t go to decision: +180 / -260
UFC Significant Striking Stats
|Significant Striking Stats
|Strikes landed per minute: Jones 4.31 / Reyes 5.05
|Striking accuracy: Jones 57% / Reyes 52%
|Strikes absorbed per minute: Jones 2.03 / Reyes 2.27
|Striking defense: Jones 65% / Reyes 58%
UFC Grappling Stats
|Takedowns per 15 minutes: Jones 1.9 / Reyes 0.4
|Takedown accuracy: Jones 46% / Reyes 16%
|Takedown defense: Jones 95% / Reyes 85%
|Submissions per 15 minutes: Jones 0.48 / Reyes 0.4
Bet this UFC fight at Betcris sportsbook
Reyes has done a good job of getting under Jones’ skin. Then again, it really doesn’t take much to do so. Is it a good idea to piss off the GOAT, or does that give him an edge against an emotional opponent? To many, it probably doesn’t even matter - the gap between the two is too wide to make a difference anyway.
But there is one caveat: Jones is coming off the toughest fight of a career - a split decision win over Thiago Santos in a fight where he could have just as easily lost. Yes, we know the first Gustafsson fight was close, but Bones didn’t even train for that one. Santos fought on one leg and nearly won on points. Is that a sign that Bones is finally starting to fade? Because in this sport, once the weight class catches up to somebody, it does so quickly.
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UFC Odds Pick: Parlay Jones to win at -465
You can talk yourself into a Reyes upset: he’s tall, long and has explosive punching power. But nothing in his past fights suggesthe’s ready for the final boss yet. Jones is more experienced on the feet and worlds better when it comes to grappling. If Reyes barely got by Oezdemir, what do you think Jones is gonna do? You’re good parlaying this one.
UFC Odds Pick: Jones to win by submission
Reyes has yet to pass the Wrestler Test, and Jones is more than qualified to administer it. Even if Reyes has some grappling chops, Jones is both a takedown ace and a submission wizard. If Jones decides to wrestle (his easiest path to victory), or if he hurts Reyes with a big shot, don’t be surprised if he locks something up that the challenger didn’t see coming. The price is solid here.
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