Welterweights Alex Morono (16-5, 5 KOs, 6 SUBs) and Max Griffin (15-6, 7 KOs, 2 SUBs) will meet at UFC on ESPN+ 19 on Saturday, October 12, 2019 at the Amalie Center in Tampa, Florida. The card streams live on ESPN+ starting 5pm ET.
While neither man appears to have a high ceiling, they’ve already established that they have high floors. With solid wins over middle class competition, it’s definitely possible that one or the other could carve out long, productive UFC careers. Let’s break down the UFC odd at Betcris and go over your best betting options. Sign Up at Betcris! Live UFC betting at Betcris allows you to make wagers during the fight with real-time money line updates.
Alex Morono and Max Griffin might not be ranked welterweights, but they’ve got a solid opportunity to make some noise in a stacked division this Saturday. With both men struggling to gain a foothold at 170 pounds, a main card pairing in Florida could be the perfect platform for the winner to break out.
Griffin’s UFC run hasn’t been ideal, as he’s gone just 3-4 inside the octagon since making his debut in 2016. But in full fairness, his first UFC scrap came against current title contender Colby Covington - and his journey hasn’t gotten much easier. Since losing to Colby, “Pain” has had to meet rising contender Elizeu Dos Santos, knockout artist Mike Perry and Curtis Millender, who came into the matchup with seven straight wins. The Sacramento native now has a chance to put together his first UFC winning streak after earning a majority decision against Zelim Imadaev this past April.
Alex “The Great White” Morono enters the cage with a two-fight winning streak, earning a decision over Kenan Song and most recently notching a TKO win over Zak Ottow this past March. Since 2016, Morono has racked up a 5-2 record (1 NC). Prior to joining the UFC, the 29-year old won five straight fights in regional competition, drawing the eyes of Dana White and company.
- Alex Morono +120
- Max Griffin -150
- Fight goes/doesn’t go to decision: -215 / +165
Significant Striking Stats
- Strikes landed per minute: Griffin 4.08 / Morono 4.26
- Striking accuracy: Griffin 50% / Morono 42%
- Strikes absorbed per minute: Griffin 3.89 / Morono 2.69
- Striking defense: Griffin 52% / Morono 63%
- Takedowns per 15 minutes: Griffin 1.53 / Morono 0
- Takedown accuracy: Griffin 47% / Morono -
- Takedown defense: Griffin 61% / Morono 36%
- Submission attempts per 15 minutes: Griffin 0.68 / Morono 0.66
Griffin earned his ticket to the UFC by earning finishes in his last four wins prior to his octagon debut. However, his aggressive finishing style was soon exposed by the higher caliber of competition. Now, he’s become a much more well-rounded striker, showing good patience and picking his spots to trade. Recent fights against Mike Perry and Curtis Millender showed a willingness to let the fight come to him, as well as the ability to maintain range with strong counterstrikes. It’s clear that Griffin does his best work when he’s being pursued - as he showed against Mike Perry.
Morono has a background as a Brazilian jiu-jitsu specialist, but you’d never guess that by the way he fights. The Gracie Barra member has taken to a wild power-punching game, and it’s been surprisingly effective considering how little regard he has to defense. This is because he’s got the gas tank to maintain a high pace and the durability to eat flush shots. Against a good striker in Kenan Song, Morono’s volume was enough to walk away with a decision. Zak Ottow didn’t last more than a round, submitting to a hellstorm of elbows.
The question here is whether Morono’s style will work as he levels up his competition. Griffin might not be ranked, but he’s faced an excellent level of competition in a relatively short amount of time. He’s never been an easy out, even against guys like Elizeu Dos Santos and Millender. If Morono gets too aggressive, Griffin could quickly get his rhythm going with his counterstriking.
UFC Odds FREE Pick: Griffin to win at -150
The style matchup seems to favor Griffin here. Morono still has yet to show he can work a patient game plan, and his aggressiveness should play right into his opponent’s strengths. Griffin’s ability to wrestle could play a role as well, as he could easily test Morono’s paltry 36% takedown defense.