UFC on ESPN 27 Odds - Joe Benavidez vs. Deiveson Figueiredo FREE Picks

Wednesday, February 26th, 2020

By Abe Chong
UFC on ESPN 27 Joe Benavidez vs. Deiveson Figueiredo

No. 1 flyweight contender Joe Benavidez (28-5, 8 KO, 9 SUB) will meet Deiveson Figueiredo (17-1, 8 KO, 6 SUB) for the vacant flyweight title at UFC on ESPN+ 27 on Saturday, February 29 at the Chartway Arena in Norfolk, Virginia. The card airs live on ESPN+ starting at 8 pm ET.

With Henry Cejudo vacating the 125-pound belt - but not before becoming unbearably cringy - we’ve got a flyweight title fight this Saturday between Joe Benavidez and Deiveson Figueiredo.

So it appears that the UFC is keeping the weight class around for the time being. Still, it’s tough to see it being around for much longer after a series of roster cuts and departures. I’d set the over/under for the division at 1.5 years and go with the under if it were a bet in the online sportsbook (and it should be). For now, at least we get to enjoy an excellent fight between perennial two of the world’s best flyweights.

UFC Fights

Benavidez has the chance to accomplish a dream he’s been chasing for nearly 15 years. In his WEC/UFC run, he’s had three title shots, but was denied by Dominick Cruz and Demetrious Johnson in their primes. There is absolutely no shame in losing to those dudes, and he’s been top 3 guy his entire UFC career. Just for good measure, he owns a win over Cejudo in 2016.

Figueiredo has been a monster since his UFC debut in 2017, recording a 6-1 record with four finishes. His lone loss came against Jussier Formiga last year, but he has since bounced back with wins over Alexandre Pantoja and Tim Elliott.

Let’s check the UFC odds at Betcris for what should be a fun, fast-paced scrap. Live UFC betting at your online sportsbook; Betcris is also available if you want to make bets during the fight.

UFC on ESPN+ 27 Odds

UFC on ESPN+ 27: Joe Benavidez vs. Deiveson Figueiredo Odds

UFC Fight Odds
Joe Benavidez -138
Deiveson Figueiredo +108
Fight goes/doesn’t go to decision: -180 / +140

Joe Benavidez Striking Stats

  • Strikes landed per minute: Benavidez 3.45
  • Striking accuracy: Benavidez 33%
  • Strikes absorbed per minute: Benavidez 2.45
  • Striking defense: Benavidez 63%

Deiveson Figueiredo Striking Stats

  • Strikes landed per minute: Figueiredo 2.43
  • Striking accuracy: Figueiredo 52%
  • Strikes absorbed per minute: Figueiredo 2.15
  • Striking defense: Figueiredo 55%

Grappling Stats

  • Takedowns per 15 minutes: Benavidez 1.45 / Figueiredo 1.86
  • Takedown accuracy: Benavidez 29% / Figueiredo 50%
  • Takedown defense: Benavidez 65% / Figueiredo 58%
  • Submission average: Benavidez 0.6 / Figueiredo 2.27

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If it feels like Benavidez has been around forever, it’s because he has. Yet somehow, he’s just 35 years old. It’s clear that he’s aged, as he is no longer as quick and explosive as he used to be. But what he’s lost in physical skills, he’s made up for in craftiness and experience. After 15 years in the sport, there’s nothing he can’t do well: he’s a threat both on the feet and the mat, with a nearly equal number of KOs and submissions.

Figueiredo looks like a guy that could move up to bantamweight and be big for that division. As a massive 125-pounder, the Brazilian has the brute strength to bully and overpower his opponents - and it usually works. On top of that, he has the typical speed and cardio of a flyweight despite the muscles. Against another big flyweight in Tim Elliott, Figueiredo displayed a lot of confidence a power striking game and a mean submission attack.

Benavidez prefers to operate on the feet, and he should have the advantage in that area over the wilder Brazilian. But Figueiredo is the bigger, stronger man, and it’ll be interesting to see if he can overwhelm a fighter as experienced as the three-time title challenger.

UFC Odds Pick: Figueiredo to win at +108

This is a tough choice: you either like Figueiredo’s youth and power, or Benavidez’s experience and skill. In this case, we lean on the Brazilian more because there have been slight, but steady, decline in Benavidez’s abilities. At some point, the 35-year old won’t be able to hang with the hungry young studs, and Figueiredo is one of the most impressive physical specimens in the division.

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