2019 Copa America Final Betting Odds - Brazil vs Peru Preview

Thursday, July 4th, 2019

By Jonathan Willis
2019 Copa America Final Betting Odds Brazil vs Peru Preview

Brazil can wipe away 12 years of frustration in one fell swoop on Sunday. The preeminent soccer power in South America has never had much luck at Copa America. Both Argentina and Uruguay dwarf Brazil in terms of total titles, yet the Selecao could cut into that lead with a win over Peru this weekend. Brazil are heavy favorites as hosts of this competition, and they smashed Peru in their earlier match.

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Brazil vs. Peru

  • Date and Time: July 7, 2019, 4 p.m. ET
  • Location: Estadio do Maracana, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
  • US Television Coverage: Telemundo
  • Betting Line: Brazil -1 and -1.5, O/U 2.5

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In an interesting coincidence, the first game between these teams was the biggest blowout of Copa America. After a middling performance in the Group Stage, Brazil proved they are a force of nature when it all comes together. They dismantled Peru by a score of 5-0 with first place in Group A on the line, and five different players tallied goals for the Selecao.

Aside from that resounding success, Brazil has largely underwhelmed at Copa America. They couldn’t score until the second half against Bolivia, and they were held to a scoreless draw by Venezuela. Paraguay were able to hold Brazil to a scoreless draw in the quarterfinals despite being down to 10 men, but Brazil managed to survive perilous penalties.

That set up South America’s version of El Clasico in the semifinals, and Brazil emerged with a 2-0 win. The Selecao didn’t create many chances, but they defended well and got the goals they needed for a spot in the final.

Peru were seen as the weakest team in the bottom half of the bracket in the knockout rounds, but they have yet to allow a goal in regulation since being dismantled by Brazil. The Incas didn’t have a shot on goal against Uruguay in the Quarterfinals, but they didn’t allow Luis Suarez and company many quality chances and won in penalties 5-4 after finishing 120 minutes scoreless.

They were much more potent on the attack versus defending champions Chile on Wednesday. Peru were content to counter and pick their opportunities, and they did so beautifully. Edinson Flores, Yoshimar Yotun, and Paolo Guerrero all got in on the action and now Peru are looking for their first Copa America title since 1975.

Brazil Player to Watch

I usually try not to highlight the same player twice, but Alisson had an incredible night against Argentina on Tuesday. He has now kept a clean sheet in each of his last nine games, and he has made his case as the best goalkeeper in the world. His outright grab of a Lionel Messi free kick was absurd and it will be very tough for Peru to beat him.

Peru Player to Watch

Paulo Guerrero has long been the main option up top for the Incas, and the veteran striker had a great day against Chile. He knocked in the third and final goal of the match, and Guerrero continues to create magic at the age of 35. Guerrero and Chile will need some magic on Sunday.

Brazil vs. Peru Free Picks

If you go back and watch Peru’s game with Chile, both of Peru’s early goals had little to do with great play on their part. On the first, a missed header led to a deflection that gave Edison Flores a nice look at goal, and the second goal was set up by a multitude of errors from Chile’s goalkeeper. It’s hard to see Peru scoring on Brazil given what we have seen from the Selecao in the back.

Brazil vs. Peru Prediction: Brazil 3, Peru 0

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