Copa America Chile vs Argentina Preview

Thursday, July 4th, 2019

By Jonathan Willis
Copa America Chile vs Argentina

For the third straight time, Chile and Argentina will meet on the last weekend of Copa America. However, while their previous two battles were to determine the winner, this year’s clash will be for third place in South America’s premier tournament. The two previous finals between these rivals ended similarly. Chile focused on defense and Argentina couldn’t break through, resulting in both the 2015 and 2016 Finals going to penalty kicks after 120 minutes of scoreless action. La Roja emerged victorious in both shootouts, and it would be poetic to see it happen once more.

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Chile vs. Argentina

  • Date and Time: July 6, 2019, 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: Arena Corinthians, Sao Paulo, Brazil
  • US Television Coverage: Telemundo
  • Betting Line: Argentina -0.5 and -1, O/U 2 and 2.5
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Argentina have not looked sharp during their time at Copa America, and it’s no surprise to see them here. They had a middling performance in the Group Stage, only beating Qatar, and they were unimpressive against both Colombia and Paraguay. However, they were the only team to score a goal in regulation in the quarterfinals, beating Venezuela 2-0 off of goals from Lautaro Martinez and Giovani Lo Celso.

They had a plethora of decent chances against Brazil in the semifinals, but they were unable to break through. Argentina outshot Brazil 14 to 4, yet the Argentines could only put two of those shots on frame and lost 2-0. The defending champions played their part well despite being dismissed by many (including myself) before the start of Copa America. Chile smashed Japan in their opener and edged Ecuador in their next match to ensure a spot in the knockout rounds. There, they were pitted against favored Colombia, and Chile beat them just like they had defeated Argentina in past tournaments. La Roja held the line and went to penalties, where they won 5-4.

Chile were sizable favorites against Peru on Wednesday night in Porto Alegre, but the Incas smashed Chile. Peru counterattacked brilliantly and were up 2-0 at halftime. La Roja ended up controlling two thirds of the possession, but they couldn’t score and eventually lost 3-0.

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Chile Player to Watch

Gabriel Arias had an awful performance in net for Chile on Wednesday. While he was not at fault for the first goal, the second goal is squarely on his shoulders as he badly misjudged a ball deep in his own end. He came well outside his area in order to clear, but Peru simply dribbled around him and then had a wide open net. It was a horrendous mistake that put La Roja behind for good, and we might see Brayan Cortes in net on Saturday instead.

Argentina Player to Watch

It’s pretty unusual for Lionel Messi to complain about officiating, but he was plenty furious after Argentina’s loss to Brazil. He slammed the refs and lampooned everyone’s least favorite part of the game (VAR), yet Argentina simply weren’t that good. It’s sadly a familiar refrain for the best player in the world, as they have been unable to get over the hump in any major competition for over 25 years now.

Chile vs. Argentina Free Picks

We’ve seen some low scoring games throughout Copa America, and given the history here, I’m going to call for this one to be low scoring as well. The under is a great bet, but in a cruel twist of fate, I’m going to take Argentina to win. Chile have had their issues in defense at Copa America, and they will be let down again in the end.

Chile vs. Argentina Prediction: Argentina 1, Chile 0

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