The race for the final Champions League spot in Italy is setting up to be a wild one. Juventus and Napoli are sure to get two of the spots, and Inter Milan are around 90 percent likely to land the third. There are five clubs within three points of one another for fourth place though, and that is going to make things exhilarating down the stretch. Two of those clubs (AC Milan and Lazio Roma) meet on Saturday in what should be a banger, while the other three have matches against bottom of the table teams.
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- SPAL 2013 +0.5 and +1 vs. Juventus Turin, O/U 2 and 2.5
- AS Roma -1 vs. Udinese Calcio, O/U 2.5 and 3
- AC Milan PK -119 vs. Lazio Roma, O/U 2.5
SPAL have a much better chance to pick up a result this Saturday than they normally would because of where this game falls in the schedule. Juventus are playing Ajax in the Champions League Quarterfinal on both sides of this weekend, and The Old Lady are going to focus on their Champions League tilt with an eighth straight Scudetto a formality. SPAL will likely face a Juventus side playing a lot of reserves and youth players.
Replacing Eusebio Di Francesco with Claudio Ranieri after Roma’s Champions League Round of 16 defeat last month was a bit of a headscratcher, and if Roma don’t qualify for the Champions League again, it will be a much-questioned decision. Roma picked up a big road win against Sampdoria last week to halt a three-game winless streak, and they need a win against Udinese on Saturday.
AC Milan and Lazio are nearly identical teams in terms of the numbers. They played to a 1-1 draw in Rome earlier this season, but AC Milan enter this one in bad form. They are 0-1-3 in their last four Serie A matches, and that has opened up the race for fourth.
- Sampdoria Genoa PK and -0.5 vs. Genoa FC, O/U 2 and 2.5
- US Sassuolo -0.5 and -1 vs. Parma Calcio 1913, O/U 2.5
- FC Torino -0.5 vs. Cagliari Calcio, O/U 2 and 2.5
- Frosinone Calcio +1 vs. Inter Milan, O/U 2.5
- ACF Fiorentina -0.5 vs. Bologna FC, O/U 2.5
- AC Chievo Verona +1.5 vs. SSC Napoli, O/U 2.5 and 3
The Genoa Derby has lost a bit of luster after Sampdoria failed to beat Torino or Roma in the last two weeks, but Genoa need a result. They have not been the same after dealing Krzysztof Piatek to AC Milan in January, and they aren’t far away from the bottom three at the moment.
Torino and Cagliari have both played very well in recent weeks. Cagliari were in the relegation zone not too long ago, but they have won four of their last six and even picked up a win away from Sardinia to give themselves a lot of breathing room. Meanwhile, Torino are in contention for a spot in Europe and will be facing one of the worst road teams in Italy.
Victories over Parma and Fiorentina in the past two weeks have given Frosinone a shot in the arm. There is still a long way to go for the club to avoid the drop though, and they still need to make up seven points in seven matches. A result over Inter Milan would be indescribably huge.
Atalanta Bergamasca -1.5 vs. FC Empoli, O/U 3
After being held scoreless by Inter Milan last week, Atalanta are ready to unload on Empoli. Atalanta are the biggest favorite of the week given their recent form, and they have scored at least three goals in four of their last seven matches.
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