Serie A Odds - Italy Serie A Weekend Analysis

Thursday, March 28th, 2019

By Jonathan Willis
Italy Serie A Weekend Analysis

Juventus have essentially locked up their eighth straight Scudetto, but there is still plenty to be determined in the Italian league over the last two months of the season. We are pretty sure that Napoli and the two rivals in Milan will qualify for the Champions League next year, and Chievo and Frosinone are likely to be relegated. However, Serie A’s two Europa League spots and the last team to face relegation are very much in the air. That will lead to a lot of intrigue this weekend.

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March 29

  • AC Chievo Verona PK -117 vs. Cagliari Calcio, O/U 2

We know that Chievo will be relegated as they are sitting on just 11 points after 28 matches. However, they are favored here as Cagliari have not been very impressive when they have had to play off of Sardinia. Cagliari are 1-3-10 away from the island, so Chievo have a chance to pick up a rare win.

Soccer Sports Betting

March 30

Genoa have had some impressive performances this season. They no longer have Krzysztof Piatek, but they were the first team to beat Juventus all year two weeks ago, and that has them confident heading into this week. However, Genoa are just 2-3-8 on the road.

The league’s hottest goal scorer has been getting it done for Samdporia. Fabio Quagliarella has 21 goals in 27 matches for Sampdoria, and he could win the Serie A Golden Boot at the ripe age of 36. He has been streaky throughout the year, scoring 14 goals in an 11-match consecutive scoring streak in the middle of the season, and he has scored five goals in Sampdoria’s last four matches.

Juventus are focused on their Champions League bid more than anything else now that they have a 15-point lead in Serie A and their hopes of an unbeaten season have been dashed. Cristiano Ronaldo will sit out the next three games after sustaining a thigh injury with Portugal over the international break, but the club is hoping he can return for the Champions League tilt with Ajax. That gives Empoli a decent chance at a surprise result.

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March 31

  • Parma Calcio 1913 +1 vs. Atalanta Bergamasca, O/U 2.5 and 3
  • Inter Milan PK and -0.5 vs. Lazio Roma, O/U 2.5
  • Frosinone Calcio PK -105 vs. SPAL 2013, O/U 2
  • ACF Fiorentina PK and -0.5 vs. FC Torino, O/U 2 and 2.5
  • Bologna FC PK and -0.5 vs. US Sassuolo, O/U 2 and 2.5
  • AS Roma PK and +0.5 vs. SSC Napoli, O/U 2.5 and 3

Atalanta are the second-highest scoring team in Italy. They have 57 goals through 28 matches, and they have an average of 3.5 goals per game (higher than any other team in Italy). This club knows how to score on the road too with 32 goals in 14 road games on the year. Their tilt with Parma could be very high scoring.

Frosinone are the one Italian club that has yet to win at home this season. They have just nine goals in 13 home matches, but they are favored to break that losing streak when they host SPAL this week.

The game of the week comes late with Roma and Napoli squaring off. Napoli are likely to finish in second place, but Roma are red hot and looking to challenge the top four with a win here. A Roma loss would likely erase their chances at qualifying for Champions League next season.

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