La Liga Matchday 38 Odds Report

Thursday, May 16th, 2019

By Rock Westfall
La Liga Final Day Odds and Picks

For the 26th time, Barcelona has claimed the La Liga title. The Blaugrana have dominated the Spanish league recently, winning four of the last five titles, and they cruised to the title this year. Barcelona are 11 points ahead of Atletico Madrid heading into the final weekend of the season, but fortunately there is drama elsewhere.

The final Champions League and Europa League spots are still up for grabs, and there is a slight chance of a shake-up when it comes to promotion and relegation. Unlike other leagues, Spain doesn’t play all have its final matches at the same time either, so previous results will certainly affect lines and scores later in the day on Saturday and Sunday.

Bet on the Spanish La Liga at Betcris

May 18

  • Deportivo Alaves PK and -0.5 vs. Girona FC, O/U 2.5 and 3
  • UD Levante +0.5 vs. Atletico Madrid, O/U 2.5 and 3
  • Sevilla FC -0.5 vs. Athletic Bilbao, O/U 2.5 and 3
  • SD Huesca PK -120 vs. CD Leganes, O/U 2.5 and 3
  • Getafe CF -0.5 and -1 vs. Villarreal CF, O/U 2.5 and 3
  • Espanyol Barcelona PK and -0.5 vs. Real Sociedad, O/U 2.5 and 3
  • Celta Vigo -1 and -1.5 vs. Rayo Vallecano, O/U 3 and 3.5
  • Real Valladolid +1 and +1.5 vs. Valencia CF, O/U 2.5 and 3
Soccer Sports Betting

Girona have less than a one percent chance of avoiding relegation, but at least they have a chance. They are three points behind Celta Vigo and six behind in terms of goal differential, yet there is at least a path to salvation. Alaves have not been impressive in two months, and the side that was once fourth in the league has cratered. Alaves are 0-3-6 in their last nine matches, so Girona definitely has a chance to get the win they need. The visitors may struggle to get the goals they need to win big though.

The best match of the week may be between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao. These teams play completely different styles, and there is a ton on the line for both clubs. Sevilla can win their way into the Champions League with a victory and either losses or draws from both Getafe and Valencia on the final week of the season. Meanwhile, Bilbao are currently in seventh place and would secure a spot in the Europa League with any kind of result. However, they have a negative goal differential and have two clubs within striking distance of them

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Getafe are out to make it to the Champions League for the first time in team history. They are currently level on points with Valencia for fourth place in the league, but they don’t have the head-to-head tiebreaker with Valencia and they will be facing a tough opponent on the last day in Villarreal. After a trying season, the Yellow Submarine have turned it on in recent weeks with a 4-1-1 record in their last six games. Villarreal’s lone loss in that stretch was to Real Madrid in the Bernabeu, and they scored two goals in the defeat.

Perhaps the best value on the board is with Real Valladolid. The club is being relegated at the end of the year, but they drew with Valencia on the road earlier in the season and they are massive home underdogs. Everyone expects Valencia to pour it on with a win earning them a spot in the Champions League, yet Valladolid have a knack for upsetting the apple cart.

May 19

Real Madrid -1 vs. Real Betis, O/U 3.5 and 4
SD Eibar +0.5 vs. FC Barcelona, O/U 3 and 3.5

Neither one of the La Liga titans has anything to play for on the last week of the season, so there could be some value in fading both clubs. Both Real Madrid and Barcelona may decide to let their reserves get some run against quality opponents.

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