When it comes to top heavy leagues there is not much that can compare to La Liga. Looking at the odds for the 2018-2019 season we find that three teams are listed with odds of 15-1 or less and then every other team has odds of 125-1 or more. There are only three teams worth considering to win the title and they are Barcelona, Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid.
Let’s look at the latest odds, each of those three teams and La Liga predictions.
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Odds to Win 2018-2019 La Liga Title
FC Barcelona -140
Real Madrid +130
Atletico Madrid +1525
Real Sociedad +100000
Real Betis +100000
Celta de Vigo +100000
Union Adarve +100000
Rayo Vallecano +500000
Sd Huesca +500000
Barcelona is listed as the favorite this season, but they will have to win without Andres Iniesta. Lionel Messi takes over the role of captain with Iniesta now in Japan. Barcelona was really good last season in league play under Ernesto Valverde and they nearly went unbeaten, but lost to Levante on the final day of the season. They were 14 points in front of Atletico Madrid. Barcelona has a potent offense that averaged about 2.5 goals per game. No other team in La Liga can match their offense and that is why Barcelona is a deserving favorite to win La Liga this season.
Real Madrid will not be the same this season, as star striker Cristiano Ronaldo is now at Juventus. Real will also have a new manager, as Zinedine Zidane left after leading the team to a Champions League title. Julen Lopetegui takes over and the pressure will be on him to continue the previous success under Zidane. Madrid is still a very talented team even without Ronaldo, as they have players like Luka Modric and Raphael Varane, but they need someone to step in and score goals with Ronaldo gone.
There is only one team that can challenge the top two and that is Atletico Madrid. They have a star striker in Antoine Griezmann and they were in contention for the title last seasons for most of the seasons before finishing second. Atletico brought in Rodri from Villarreal and Thomas Lemar from Monaco. They are said to be looking at Angel di Maria and Gelson Martins. There is no question that Atletico has the best defense in the league, as they have led the league in fewest goals allowed almost every season in the last decade. The key will be getting enough goals, so they need Griezmann and Diego Costa to continue to deliver.
2018-2019 La Liga Season Predictions
Barcelona is a deserving favorite this season, but I do think there is value on Atletico. I want nothing to do with Real Madrid at their current odds of +130. I think it will be very difficult for Real to have as much success this season without Ronaldo. Any time a team loses the best player in the world it has to have a major effect and I think Real could struggle this season. I think the title race comes down to Barcelona and Atletico. It was a lopsided race last season with Barcelona never letting any other team within striking distance. I think it could be a little different this season, as Atletico has the defense to contend with Barcelona and they have some marquee strikers. The question is whether or not Atletico can avoid giving away points against other teams in La Liga. Barcelona has proven to be very reliable against weaker La Liga teams, while Atletico has sometimes tripped up. I have to give Barcelona the edge, but do think Atletico is worth a small flyer at odds of over 15-1.
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