Wednesday Champions League FREE Picks

Friday, April 12th, 2019

By Jonathan Willis
Champions League FREE Picks

On Wednesday, we will know the four Champions League semifinalists. The oddsmakers are very confident that one of those two teams will be Liverpool. The Reds are -3000 favorites to advance over Porto after cruising to a 2-0 victory in the first leg of their tie. The second semifinalist will be an English side, that much is certain. This is the biggest toss-up per the soccer betting odds though, as Manchester City are just a -150 favorite to advance over Tottenham Hotspur. City were a bigger favorite to advance ahead of the first leg, but a 1-0 loss to Spurs dinged their chances.

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Manchester City -1.5 vs. Tottenham Hotspur, O/U 3 and 3.5

Tottenham fans were elated after their side knocked off Manchester City 1-0 in the first leg of their tie, but the aftermath of the victory might end up hurting them badly in the long run. Harry Kane was taken off with an ankle injury after a challenge on Fabian Delph saw Delph accidentally step on Kane’s ankle. There has been no official word on Kane’s prognosis as of yet, but early indications are that the club expects him to be unavailable for the remainder of the season. That would be an enormous loss as Spurs are embroiled in a battle to finish in the top four in the Premier League.

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Spurs suffered another loss too. Dele Alli fractured his hand against City, and he is unlikely to play the second leg of this tie. Without Alli or Kane, Spurs’ options on the attack are stretched a bit, and they will be leaning heavily on Son Heung-min , Christian Eriksen, and Lucas Moura.

Son scored Tottenham’s goal in the first leg on Tuesday, outhustling City’s defense and finding a bit of space before smashing a shot past Ederson. Christian Eriksen is one of the top attacking midfielders in the league, while Lucas Moura has looked good in spurts.

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This side doesn’t have the firepower of Manchester City though. City have stars at every position on the pitch, and they have enough depth that their fans are dreaming of an unprecedented quadruple. The Citizens are led by Sergio Aguero up front, and he is on pace to win the Premier League Golden Boot for the second time in his career. Raheem Sterling is one of the top forwards, and he is among the leaders in goals and assists, and David Silva, Kevin De Bruyne, and Leroy Sane have all looked sharp too. Spurs do have a lead and after holding City scoreless, an away goal would be enormous. I think they will get it, but City will be too much in the end. I see City winning 3-1 to advance.

FC Porto +0.5 vs. Liverpool FC, O/U 2.5

Liverpool can’t just play kick around like they did in the second leg of their tie with Porto last year, but the Reds are in a commanding position after a 2-0 win in the first leg. Naby Keita scored in the fifth minute, and Roberto Firmino doubled the lead with an easy finish 20 minutes later in a game that Liverpool controlled from start to finish.

Porto just couldn’t get much going on offense. Tiquinho did not have a lot of success going forward, and the only attacker that looked dangerous on the afternoon was Moussa Marega. Marega has six Champions League goals this season, and he will need to come through for Porto to pull off the stunner.

The Portuguese side may be able to get a result at home, but I don’t think they will be able to overcome a two-goal deficit.

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